Author Topic: UEFA Nations League - Group A Semi Final  (Read 2624 times)

Hookos

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UEFA Nations League - Group A Semi Final
« on: June 05, 2019, 12:07:51 PM »
Portugal - Switzerland 1.64 - 3.70 - 5.80 (PAF.com)

Portugal and Switzerland will face each other in UEFA Nations League Quarter Final tonight. The other pair is England and The Netherlands. Both teams have played twice during this year in EURO2020 Qualifiers late March. Portugal has played Ukraine (0-0) and Serbia (1-1), while Switzerland has faced Georgia (0-2 win) and Denmark (3-3).

Portugal dominated both shots and ball possession against Serbia. Portugal had 28 chances, but only 5 hit on target. Serbia had 9 chances, three of them hitting the target. Possession was 60-40 in Portugals favor. Portugal made 566 succesfull passes against Serbias 191. Ajax star Dusan Tadic scored Serbia's goal from penalty spot. Danilo Pereira found the net for Portugal. Pereira is suspended from game against Switzerland. Same kind of stats came out in game against Ukraine as well.

Switzerland blew their three goal lead against Denmark within last 10 minutes of the game. Remo Freuler, Granit Xhaka and Breel Embolo scored first three goals, but Denmark equalized with goals by Jorgensen (84'), Gytkjaer (88') and Dalsgaard (90+3'). Stats were pretty even in this matchup, but Switzerland dominated Georgia in their 0-2 win with 61% possession and 24 goal scoring chances against Georgia's 6. Steven Zuber and Denis Zakaria scored for Switzerland in that game.

Portugal is unbeaten in 8 games in a row (3 wins, 5 draws). In their last 5 games they have won once and drawn four times. Switzerland has gone last three games without a loss. In their last 5 they have won three times, drawn once and lost once. Portugal has scored 5 goals in last 5, which puts them on 1 goal average per game. They have given away 3 goals, which is 0,6 goals on average. Switzerland has scored 12 goals (2,4 on average) in past 5, while giving away 7 (1,4 on average).

Portugal is a very good defensive team that also likes to hold the ball. Taking in count the fact that Portugal is playing at home and it's a one game semi final I'm expecting this game to be low scoring. Portugal has great defensive players like William Carvalho but also have world class goal scorers like Cristiano Ronaldo. I would imagine Portugal having the possession and Switzerland trying to score from counters, if they get them.

PICKS:
Under 2,5 goals 1.76
Portugal under 1,5 goals 1.91
Game result 1-0 6.10
Game result 1-1 7.00

Guys, let me know what you think about tonight's match and feel free to comment your opinion :)

Hookos

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Re: UEFA Nations League - Group A Semi Final
« Reply #1 on: June 05, 2019, 11:53:17 PM »
Every pick held till 88th minute, then Cristiano Ronaldo started his own show. 3-1 final result. Two goals within last three minutes.